Casey Mize followed a rocky opening to his season with another step forward Wednesday, working six one-run innings against the Brewers. The outing came after he held the Red Sox scoreless over 6 2/3 innings, a sharper stretch for a right-hander who entered the year in a contract season and needed a steadier answer than the one he gave on April 1.
That April 1 start, a 4 1/3-inning, five-run outing against the Twins, sat awkwardly beside the kind of beginning the Tigers wanted to see from a former first-time All-Star who posted a 3.15 ERA in the first half last year. Mize has now strung together back-to-back outings that look more like the pitcher Detroit hoped for, and the timing matters because every clean start makes the coming decision on his future more difficult.
The Tigers’ rotation has started to shape up even better than advertised, with Tarik Skubal and Framber Valdez expected to be their usual selves, Jack Flaherty off to a rough start in Boston and Keider Montero emerging as a surprising stalwart. That depth gives Detroit a different kind of leverage, and it also gives Mize a narrower lane to prove he belongs in the long-term plan rather than just in the present one.
What comes next is bigger than one good night. The Tigers may have to decide whether to re-sign Mize or let him walk, and that call will be shaped not only by his own results but by the health of the rest of the rotation. Jackson Jobe, Reese Olson and Troy Melton are all recovering from injury, and if those recoveries go well, Detroit could enter 2027 with a mostly full staff. In that scenario, Framber Valdez could even become the club’s new ace if Skubal lands a $400 million payday somewhere else.
For now, the tension around Mize is simple. Fans may still feel uneasy about paying him after he has not lived up to expectations in the past, but the market ahead is not overflowing with obvious alternatives. The next offseason’s free-agent class may include only Freddy Peralta and Shane Bieber among the especially lucrative starting pitchers, and most of the rest will have some kind of option attached. That makes every start like Wednesday’s more than a box-score line. It is part audition, part argument, and for Mize, part of the case that he can still be worth keeping.
