Lille Fc is set to host Le Havre on Sunday at Stade Pierre-Mauroy in Villeneuve-d'Ascq, France, in a matchup that opens with the home side priced at -145 and the visitors at +125. The total is set at 3, and the projected goalkeepers are Berke Ozer for Lille and Mory Diaw for Le Havre.
The numbers lean toward Lille, which enters at 17-6-8 with 57 points and 50 goals scored against 34 allowed. The club is averaging 1.84 points per fixture, ranks eighth among European teams with 32 assists, and sits ninth in expected goals at 21.1 with an xGA of 22.4. Lille has also collected 12 shutouts, a 38.7% clean sheet rate, 70 yellow cards and five red cards while allowing 100 shots on target.
Le Havre arrives with a 6-13-12 record and 31 points, ranking 14th among Big 5 teams. It has scored 29 goals, carries 22.2 expected goals, and has a minus-13 goal difference after giving up 42. The team has seven shutouts, a 22.6% clean sheet rate, 57 yellow cards, 21 assists and four red cards, while its defense has posted a 1.35 goals-against average per 90 minutes.
Ozer’s profile gives Lille another edge. He has played 2,564 career minutes, made 64 stops, faced 94 shots in 29 starts and allowed 31 goals, with a 1.09 goals-against average per 90 minutes and a 68.1% save percentage. He also has 12 shutouts and a 42.1% clean sheet percentage. Diaw brings a longer resume, with 140 goals allowed, 312 saves and 94 starting assignments, along with a 1.50 goals-against average per 90 minutes and a 69.3% save percentage.
The matchup also features a few attacking figures worth tracking. Matias Fernandez-Pardo has 14 goals, eight assists and 36 career points in 3,823 minutes, while Issa Soumare has 22 goals, 19 assists and 63 career points across 11,292 professional minutes. That mix helps explain why Lille carries the stronger market position, but Le Havre’s chance rests on whether Diaw can hold the line long enough to keep the game inside the total. The meeting is scheduled for May 3, 2026, and the betting setup suggests Lille must turn its statistical edge into a result at home.
